Bagging / Classifier Layer

Bagging (Bootstrap Aggregating) Classifier Ensemble: A Bagging classifier is an ensemble meta-estimator that fits base classifiers each on random subsets of the original dataset and then aggregate their individual predictions (either by voting or by averaging) to form a final prediction. Such a meta-estimator can typically be used as a way to reduce the variance of a black-box estimator (e.g., a decision tree), by introducing randomization into its construction procedure and then making an ensemble out of it.

Mathematical form: where:

  • are base classifiers
  • M is number of estimators
  • Each classifier trained on bootstrap sample

Key characteristics:

  • Parallel ensemble learning
  • Random bootstrap sampling
  • Independent base estimators
  • Variance reduction
  • Majority voting

Common applications:

  • Reducing overfitting
  • Stable predictions
  • Noisy data handling
  • Model averaging

Computational notes:

  • Parallel training possible
  • Memory: O(n_estimators * model_size)
  • Training: O(n_estimators * base_training)
  • Prediction: O(n_estimators)

Outputs:

  1. Predicted Table: Input data with predictions
  2. Validation Results: Cross-validation metrics
  3. Test Metric: Test set performance
  4. ROC Curve Data: ROC analysis information
  5. Confusion Matrix: Classification breakdown
  6. Feature Importances: Aggregated importances
Table
0
0
Predicted Table
1
Validation Results
2
Test Metric
3
ROC Curve Data
4
Confusion Matrix
5
Feature Importances

SelectFeatures

[column, ...]

Feature columns for Bagging Classification:

Data requirements:

  1. General format:

    • Numeric features
    • Encoded categoricals
    • No missing values
    • Clean data
  2. Preprocessing needs:

    • Depends on base estimator
    • Trees: No scaling needed
    • Linear models: Standardize
    • SVMs: Scale to [-1, 1]
  3. Feature quality:

    • Handle missing data
    • Remove constants
    • Check correlations
    • Consider feature_subset_size

Note: If empty, uses all numeric columns except target

Target column for Bagging Classification:

Requirements:

  1. Data format:

    • Categorical labels
    • At least two classes
    • No missing values
    • Consistent encoding
  2. Class characteristics:

    • Any distribution acceptable
    • Bagging preserves ratios
    • Bootstrap maintains balance
    • Supports multi-class
  3. Quality checks:

    • Verify encodings
    • Check distributions
    • Validate categories
    • Monitor rare classes

Params

oneof
DefaultParams

Default configuration for Bagging Classifier:

Default settings:

  1. Base estimator:

    • DecisionTree classifier
    • Default tree parameters
  2. Ensemble parameters:

    • N estimators: 10
    • Max samples: 1.0 (100%)
    • Max features: 1.0 (100%)
  3. Bootstrap settings:

    • Bootstrap: True (sample with replacement)
    • Bootstrap features: False
    • OOB score: False
  4. Other settings:

    • Warm start: False
    • N jobs: None
    • Random state: None

Best suited for:

  • Initial modeling
  • Quick prototyping
  • Standard datasets

Fine-tuned configuration for Bagging Classifier:

Parameter categories:

  1. Ensemble structure
  2. Sampling strategy
  3. Feature selection
  4. Training control
DecisionTree

Base estimator options for Bagging ensemble:

Selection criteria:

  • Model stability
  • Training efficiency
  • Memory requirements
  • Parallelization capability

Note: Unstable learners often benefit most from bagging

DecisionTree ~

Decision Tree classifier:

Properties:

  • High variance (ideal for bagging)
  • Fast training
  • No preprocessing needed
  • Native multi-class

Best for:

  • Standard bagging
  • Random Forest-like ensembles
  • Most applications
RandomForest ~

Random Forest classifier:

Properties:

  • Already an ensemble
  • Built-in feature sampling
  • Double randomization
  • Parallel processing

Best for:

  • High-dimensional data
  • Complex problems
  • Extra randomization
ExtraTrees ~

Extremely Randomized Trees classifier:

Properties:

  • Additional randomization
  • Faster than standard trees
  • Lower variance
  • Parallel capable

Best for:

  • Faster training
  • Very large datasets
  • Maximum randomization
AdaBoost ~

AdaBoost classifier:

Properties:

  • Sequential boosting
  • Adaptive weights
  • Focus on hard cases
  • Complex ensembles

Best for:

  • Hybrid ensembles
  • Combining boost and bag
  • Difficult problems
GradientBoosting ~

Gradient Boosting classifier:

Properties:

  • Sequential optimization
  • High accuracy
  • Gradient-based
  • Strong learner

Best for:

  • Complex ensembles
  • High accuracy needs
  • Hybrid models
Knn ~

K-Nearest Neighbors classifier:

Properties:

  • Instance-based
  • No training phase
  • Memory-intensive
  • Local decisions

Best for:

  • Small datasets
  • Local patterns
  • Feature spaces
Mlp ~

Multi-Layer Perceptron classifier:

Properties:

  • Neural network
  • Non-linear mapping
  • Requires scaling
  • Complex patterns

Best for:

  • Deep patterns
  • Feature learning
  • Complex boundaries
LogisiticReg ~

Logistic Regression classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear model
  • Probabilistic output
  • Fast training
  • Requires scaling

Best for:

  • Linear problems
  • Large datasets
  • Probability needs
Svc ~

Support Vector classifier:

Properties:

  • Kernel methods
  • Margin optimization
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory intensive

Best for:

  • Medium datasets
  • Complex boundaries
  • Non-linear patterns
LinearSvc ~

Linear Support Vector classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear boundaries
  • Faster than SVC
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory efficient

Best for:

  • Large datasets
  • Linear problems
  • High dimensions
GaussianNb ~

Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Probabilistic model
  • Fast computation
  • Continuous features
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Real-valued features
  • Quick baselines
  • Independent features
BernoulliNb ~

Bernoulli Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Binary features
  • Fast computation
  • Probabilistic model
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Binary data
  • Text classification
  • Sparse features
MultinomialNb ~

Multinomial Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Count features
  • Fast computation
  • Probabilistic model
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Text data
  • Count features
  • Document classification
Lda ~

Linear Discriminant Analysis classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear boundaries
  • Dimensionality reduction
  • Requires scaling
  • Fast computation

Best for:

  • Multi-class
  • Dimensionality reduction
  • Linear problems
Qda ~

Quadratic Discriminant Analysis classifier:

Properties:

  • Quadratic boundaries
  • Class covariances
  • Requires scaling
  • More flexible than LDA

Best for:

  • Non-linear problems
  • Class-specific variance
  • Normal distributions
Sgd ~

Stochastic Gradient Descent classifier:

Properties:

  • Online learning
  • Linear model
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory efficient

Best for:

  • Large datasets
  • Online learning
  • Linear problems
PassiveAggressive ~

Passive Aggressive classifier:

Properties:

  • Online learning
  • Linear model
  • Requires scaling
  • Fast updates

Best for:

  • Online learning
  • Streaming data
  • Linear problems
Ridge ~

Ridge classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear model
  • L2 regularization
  • Requires scaling
  • Stable solutions

Best for:

  • Linear problems
  • Correlated features
  • Stable predictions

Number of base estimators:

Trade-offs:

  • More estimators: Better stability
  • Parallel training possible
  • Memory scales linearly
  • Diminishing returns

Sample size for training each estimator: the number of samples to draw from X to train each base estimator.

Range: (0.0, 1.0]

  • 1.0: Same size as original
  • <1.0: Smaller bootstrap samples. Draws max_samples * X.shape[0] samples

Note: Affects diversity and computation

Feature subset size for each estimator: the number of features to draw from X to train each base estimator.

Range: (0.0, 1.0]

  • 1.0: All features
  • <1.0: Feature subsampling. Draws max(1, int(max_features * n_features_in_)) features.

Note: Adds feature diversity

true

Whether samples are drawn with replacement.

True:

  • Bootstrap sampling
  • ~63.2% unique samples
  • Traditional bagging

False:

  • Sample without replacement
  • All samples unique
  • Random subsampling

Whether features are drawn with replacement.

True:

  • Random feature sets
  • May include duplicates

False:

  • Unique feature subsets
  • Standard approach
false

Whether to use out-of-bag samples to estimate the generalization error.

True:

  • Enables OOB estimation
  • Unbiased performance estimate
  • Additional computation

Note: Requires bootstrap=True

false

When set to True, reuse the solution of the previous call to fit and add more estimators to the ensemble, otherwise, just fit a whole new ensemble.

True:

  • Add more estimators
  • Continue training

False:

  • Fresh ensemble
  • Start from scratch

Controls the random resampling of the original dataset (sample wise and feature wise). If the base estimator accepts a random_state attribute, a different seed is generated for each instance in the ensemble.

Controls:

  • Bootstrap sampling
  • Feature selection
  • Base estimator randomness

Set for reproducible results

Hyperparameter optimization for Bagging Classifier:

Search dimensions:

  1. Model selection:

    • Base estimators
    • Ensemble size
  2. Sampling strategy:

    • Sample sizes
    • Feature subsets
    • Bootstrap options

Computational impact:

  • Time: O(n_params * n_estimators * base_training)
  • Memory: O(n_params * n_estimators)

Note: Parallel training possible

BaseEstimator

[enum, ...]
DecisionTree

Base estimator options for Bagging ensemble:

Selection criteria:

  • Model stability
  • Training efficiency
  • Memory requirements
  • Parallelization capability

Note: Unstable learners often benefit most from bagging

DecisionTree ~

Decision Tree classifier:

Properties:

  • High variance (ideal for bagging)
  • Fast training
  • No preprocessing needed
  • Native multi-class

Best for:

  • Standard bagging
  • Random Forest-like ensembles
  • Most applications
RandomForest ~

Random Forest classifier:

Properties:

  • Already an ensemble
  • Built-in feature sampling
  • Double randomization
  • Parallel processing

Best for:

  • High-dimensional data
  • Complex problems
  • Extra randomization
ExtraTrees ~

Extremely Randomized Trees classifier:

Properties:

  • Additional randomization
  • Faster than standard trees
  • Lower variance
  • Parallel capable

Best for:

  • Faster training
  • Very large datasets
  • Maximum randomization
AdaBoost ~

AdaBoost classifier:

Properties:

  • Sequential boosting
  • Adaptive weights
  • Focus on hard cases
  • Complex ensembles

Best for:

  • Hybrid ensembles
  • Combining boost and bag
  • Difficult problems
GradientBoosting ~

Gradient Boosting classifier:

Properties:

  • Sequential optimization
  • High accuracy
  • Gradient-based
  • Strong learner

Best for:

  • Complex ensembles
  • High accuracy needs
  • Hybrid models
Knn ~

K-Nearest Neighbors classifier:

Properties:

  • Instance-based
  • No training phase
  • Memory-intensive
  • Local decisions

Best for:

  • Small datasets
  • Local patterns
  • Feature spaces
Mlp ~

Multi-Layer Perceptron classifier:

Properties:

  • Neural network
  • Non-linear mapping
  • Requires scaling
  • Complex patterns

Best for:

  • Deep patterns
  • Feature learning
  • Complex boundaries
LogisiticReg ~

Logistic Regression classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear model
  • Probabilistic output
  • Fast training
  • Requires scaling

Best for:

  • Linear problems
  • Large datasets
  • Probability needs
Svc ~

Support Vector classifier:

Properties:

  • Kernel methods
  • Margin optimization
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory intensive

Best for:

  • Medium datasets
  • Complex boundaries
  • Non-linear patterns
LinearSvc ~

Linear Support Vector classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear boundaries
  • Faster than SVC
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory efficient

Best for:

  • Large datasets
  • Linear problems
  • High dimensions
GaussianNb ~

Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Probabilistic model
  • Fast computation
  • Continuous features
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Real-valued features
  • Quick baselines
  • Independent features
BernoulliNb ~

Bernoulli Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Binary features
  • Fast computation
  • Probabilistic model
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Binary data
  • Text classification
  • Sparse features
MultinomialNb ~

Multinomial Naive Bayes classifier:

Properties:

  • Count features
  • Fast computation
  • Probabilistic model
  • Feature independence

Best for:

  • Text data
  • Count features
  • Document classification
Lda ~

Linear Discriminant Analysis classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear boundaries
  • Dimensionality reduction
  • Requires scaling
  • Fast computation

Best for:

  • Multi-class
  • Dimensionality reduction
  • Linear problems
Qda ~

Quadratic Discriminant Analysis classifier:

Properties:

  • Quadratic boundaries
  • Class covariances
  • Requires scaling
  • More flexible than LDA

Best for:

  • Non-linear problems
  • Class-specific variance
  • Normal distributions
Sgd ~

Stochastic Gradient Descent classifier:

Properties:

  • Online learning
  • Linear model
  • Requires scaling
  • Memory efficient

Best for:

  • Large datasets
  • Online learning
  • Linear problems
PassiveAggressive ~

Passive Aggressive classifier:

Properties:

  • Online learning
  • Linear model
  • Requires scaling
  • Fast updates

Best for:

  • Online learning
  • Streaming data
  • Linear problems
Ridge ~

Ridge classifier:

Properties:

  • Linear model
  • L2 regularization
  • Requires scaling
  • Stable solutions

Best for:

  • Linear problems
  • Correlated features
  • Stable predictions

NEstimators

[u32, ...]
10

Number of estimators to evaluate:

Typical ranges:

  1. Quick: [5, 10, 20]
  2. Standard: [10, 30, 50]
  3. Large: [50, 100, 200]

Note: More estimators increase stability

MaxSamples

[f64, ...]
1

Sample size fractions to try:

Ranges:

  1. Conservative: [0.8, 1.0]
  2. Standard: [0.5, 0.7, 1.0]
  3. Aggressive: [0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 1.0]

Note: Affects ensemble diversity

MaxFeatures

[f64, ...]
1

Feature subset sizes to evaluate:

Common ranges:

  1. Full: [1.0]
  2. Partial: [0.5, 0.7, 1.0]
  3. Random forest-like: [0.3, 0.5, 0.7]

Note: Smaller values increase diversity

Bootstrap

[bool, ...]
true

Bootstrap sampling options:

Choices:

  • [true]: Traditional bagging
  • [false]: Random subsampling
  • [true, false]: Compare both

Note: Affects OOB score availability

false

Feature bootstrap options:

Choices:

  • [false]: Standard feature subsets
  • [true]: Random feature sets
  • [true, false]: Compare approaches

Note: Additional randomization level

OobScore

[bool, ...]
false

Out-of-bag scoring options:

Choices:

  • [false]: No OOB estimation
  • [true]: Use OOB samples
  • [true, false]: Compare both

Note: Requires bootstrap=True

WarmStart

[bool, ...]
false

When set to True, reuse the solution of the previous call to fit and add more estimators to the ensemble, otherwise, just fit a whole new ensemble.

Choices:

  • [false]: Fresh ensembles
  • [true]: Reuse estimators
  • [true, false]: Compare methods

Note: Affects training behavior

Random seed for reproducibility:

Controls:

  • Sampling randomization
  • Feature selection
  • Cross-validation splits

Fixed value ensures reproducible search

Accuracy

Performance evaluation metrics for Bagging classification:

Purpose:

  • Model evaluation
  • Ensemble selection
  • Early stopping
  • Performance tracking

Selection criteria:

  • Problem objectives
  • Class distribution
  • Ensemble size
  • Computation resources
Default ~

Uses ensemble's built-in scoring:

Properties:

  • Weighted accuracy metric
  • Ensemble-aware scoring
  • Fast computation
  • Boosting-compatible

Best for:

  • Standard problems
  • Quick evaluation
  • Initial testing
  • Performance tracking
Accuracy ~

Standard classification accuracy:

Formula:

Properties:

  • Range: [0, 1]
  • Ensemble consensus
  • Intuitive metric
  • Equal error weights

Best for:

  • Balanced datasets
  • Equal error costs
  • Simple evaluation
  • Quick benchmarking
BalancedAccuracy ~

Class-normalized accuracy score:

Formula:

Properties:

  • Range: [0, 1]
  • Class-weighted
  • Imbalance-robust
  • Fair evaluation

Best for:

  • Imbalanced data
  • Varied class sizes
  • Minority focus
  • Fair assessment
LogLoss ~

Logarithmic loss (Cross-entropy):

Formula:

Properties:

  • Range: [0, ∞)
  • Probability-sensitive
  • Boosting-optimal
  • Confidence-aware

Best for:

  • Probability estimation
  • Boosting optimization
  • Risk assessment
  • Model calibration
RocAuc ~

Area Under ROC Curve:

Properties:

  • Range: [0, 1]
  • Ranking quality
  • Threshold-invariant
  • Ensemble-appropriate

Best for:

  • Binary problems
  • Ranking tasks
  • Score calibration
  • Model comparison

Note: Extended to multi-class via averaging

Split

oneof
DefaultSplit

Standard train-test split configuration optimized for general classification tasks.

Configuration:

  • Test size: 20% (0.2)
  • Random seed: 98
  • Shuffling: Enabled
  • Stratification: Based on target distribution

Advantages:

  • Preserves class distribution
  • Provides reliable validation
  • Suitable for most datasets

Best for:

  • Medium to large datasets
  • Independent observations
  • Initial model evaluation

Splitting uses the ShuffleSplit strategy or StratifiedShuffleSplit strategy depending on the field stratified. Note: If shuffle is false then stratified must be false.

Configurable train-test split parameters for specialized requirements. Allows fine-tuning of data division strategy for specific use cases or constraints.

Use cases:

  • Time series data
  • Grouped observations
  • Specific train/test ratios
  • Custom validation schemes

Random seed for reproducible splits. Ensures:

  • Consistent train/test sets
  • Reproducible experiments
  • Comparable model evaluations

Same seed guarantees identical splits across runs.

true

Data shuffling before splitting. Effects:

  • true: Randomizes order, better for i.i.d. data
  • false: Maintains order, important for time series

When to disable:

  • Time dependent data
  • Sequential patterns
  • Grouped observations
0.8

Proportion of data for training. Considerations:

  • Larger (e.g., 0.8-0.9): Better model learning
  • Smaller (e.g., 0.5-0.7): Better validation

Common splits:

  • 0.8: Standard (80/20 split)
  • 0.7: More validation emphasis
  • 0.9: More training emphasis
false

Maintain class distribution in splits. Important when:

  • Classes are imbalanced
  • Small classes present
  • Representative splits needed

Requirements:

  • Classification tasks only
  • Cannot use with shuffle=false
  • Sufficient samples per class

Cv

oneof
DefaultCv

Standard cross-validation configuration using stratified 3-fold splitting.

Configuration:

  • Folds: 3
  • Method: StratifiedKFold
  • Stratification: Preserves class proportions

Advantages:

  • Balanced evaluation
  • Reasonable computation time
  • Good for medium-sized datasets

Limitations:

  • May be insufficient for small datasets
  • Higher variance than larger fold counts
  • May miss some data patterns

Configurable stratified k-fold cross-validation for specific validation requirements.

Features:

  • Adjustable fold count with NFolds determining the number of splits.
  • Stratified sampling
  • Preserved class distributions

Use cases:

  • Small datasets (more folds)
  • Large datasets (fewer folds)
  • Detailed model evaluation
  • Robust performance estimation
3

Number of cross-validation folds. Guidelines:

  • 3-5: Large datasets, faster training
  • 5-10: Standard choice, good balance
  • 10+: Small datasets, thorough evaluation

Trade-offs:

  • More folds: Better evaluation, slower training
  • Fewer folds: Faster training, higher variance

Must be at least 2.

K-fold cross-validation without stratification. Divides data into k consecutive folds for iterative validation.

Process:

  • Splits data into k equal parts
  • Each fold serves as validation once
  • Remaining k-1 folds form training set

Use cases:

  • Regression problems
  • Large, balanced datasets
  • When stratification unnecessary
  • Continuous target variables

Limitations:

  • May not preserve class distributions
  • Less suitable for imbalanced data
  • Can create biased splits with ordered data

Number of folds for cross-validation. Selection guide: Recommended values:

  • 5: Standard choice (default)
  • 3: Large datasets/quick evaluation
  • 10: Thorough evaluation/smaller datasets

Trade-offs:

  • Higher values: More thorough, computationally expensive
  • Lower values: Faster, potentially higher variance

Must be at least 2 for valid cross-validation.

Random seed for fold generation when shuffling. Important for:

  • Reproducible results
  • Consistent fold assignments
  • Benchmark comparisons
  • Debugging and validation

Set specific value for reproducibility across runs.

true

Whether to shuffle data before splitting into folds. Effects:

  • true: Randomized fold composition (recommended)
  • false: Sequential splitting

Enable when:

  • Data may have ordering
  • Better fold independence needed

Disable for:

  • Time series data
  • Ordered observations

Stratified K-fold cross-validation maintaining class proportions across folds.

Key features:

  • Preserves class distribution in each fold
  • Handles imbalanced datasets
  • Ensures representative splits

Best for:

  • Classification problems
  • Imbalanced class distributions
  • When class proportions matter

Requirements:

  • Classification tasks only
  • Sufficient samples per class
  • Categorical target variable

Number of stratified folds. Guidelines: Typical values:

  • 5: Standard for most cases
  • 3: Quick evaluation/large datasets
  • 10: Detailed evaluation/smaller datasets

Considerations:

  • Must allow sufficient samples per class per fold
  • Balance between stability and computation time
  • Consider smallest class size when choosing

Seed for reproducible stratified splits. Ensures:

  • Consistent fold assignments
  • Reproducible results
  • Comparable experiments
  • Systematic validation

Fixed seed guarantees identical stratified splits.

false

Data shuffling before stratified splitting. Impact:

  • true: Randomizes while maintaining stratification
  • false: Maintains data order within strata

Use cases:

  • true: Independent observations
  • false: Grouped or sequential data

Class proportions maintained regardless of setting.

Random permutation cross-validator with independent sampling.

Characteristics:

  • Random sampling for each split
  • Independent train/test sets
  • More flexible than K-fold
  • Can have overlapping test sets

Advantages:

  • Control over test size
  • Fresh splits each iteration
  • Good for large datasets

Limitations:

  • Some samples might never be tested
  • Others might be tested multiple times
  • No guarantee of complete coverage

Number of random splits to perform. Consider: Common values:

  • 5: Standard evaluation
  • 10: More thorough assessment
  • 3: Quick estimates

Trade-offs:

  • More splits: Better estimation, longer runtime
  • Fewer splits: Faster, less stable estimates

Balance between computation and stability.

Random seed for reproducible shuffling. Controls:

  • Split randomization
  • Sample selection
  • Result reproducibility

Important for:

  • Debugging
  • Comparative studies
  • Result verification
0.2

Proportion of samples for test set. Guidelines: Common ratios:

  • 0.2: Standard (80/20 split)
  • 0.25: More validation emphasis
  • 0.1: More training data

Considerations:

  • Dataset size
  • Model complexity
  • Validation requirements

It must be between 0.0 and 1.0.

Stratified random permutation cross-validator combining shuffle-split with stratification.

Features:

  • Maintains class proportions
  • Random sampling within strata
  • Independent splits
  • Flexible test size

Ideal for:

  • Imbalanced datasets
  • Large-scale problems
  • When class distributions matter
  • Flexible validation schemes

Number of stratified random splits. Guidelines: Recommended values:

  • 5: Standard evaluation
  • 10: Detailed analysis
  • 3: Quick assessment

Consider:

  • Sample size per class
  • Computational resources
  • Stability requirements

Seed for reproducible stratified sampling. Ensures:

  • Consistent class proportions
  • Reproducible splits
  • Comparable experiments

Critical for:

  • Benchmarking
  • Research studies
  • Quality assurance
0.2

Fraction of samples for stratified test set. Best practices: Common splits:

  • 0.2: Balanced evaluation
  • 0.3: More thorough testing
  • 0.15: Preserve training size

Consider:

  • Minority class size
  • Overall dataset size
  • Validation objectives

It must be between 0.0 and 1.0.

Time Series cross-validator. Provides train/test indices to split time series data samples that are observed at fixed time intervals, in train/test sets. It is a variation of k-fold which returns first k folds as train set and the k + 1th fold as test set. Note that unlike standard cross-validation methods, successive training sets are supersets of those that come before them. Also, it adds all surplus data to the first training partition, which is always used to train the model. Key features:

  • Maintains temporal dependence
  • Expanding window approach
  • Forward-chaining splits
  • No future data leakage

Use cases:

  • Sequential data
  • Financial forecasting
  • Temporal predictions
  • Time-dependent patterns

Note: Training sets are supersets of previous iterations.

Number of temporal splits. Considerations: Typical values:

  • 5: Standard forward chaining
  • 3: Limited historical data
  • 10: Long time series

Impact:

  • Affects training window growth
  • Determines validation points
  • Influences computational load

Maximum size of training set. Should be strictly less than the number of samples. Applications:

  • 0: Use all available past data
  • >0: Rolling window of fixed size

Use cases:

  • Limit historical relevance
  • Control computational cost
  • Handle concept drift
  • Memory constraints

Number of samples in each test set. When 0:

  • Auto-calculated as n_samples/(n_splits+1)
  • Ensures equal-sized test sets

Considerations:

  • Forecast horizon
  • Validation requirements
  • Available future data

Gap

u64
0

Number of samples to exclude from the end of each train set before the test set.Gap between train and test sets. Uses:

  • Avoid data leakage
  • Model forecast lag
  • Buffer periods

Common scenarios:

  • 0: Continuous prediction
  • >0: Forward gap for realistic evaluation
  • Match business forecasting needs